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When you think about the vast quantities of money made by people working on Wall Street as well as in the City of London you would naturally come to the conclusion that these people must know all there is to learn about financial markets.
Though the real truth is most don't actually back their own views on the markets since they don't actually determine what the market is going to do. For the cash they earn is from the fees they charge out to their customers, management and commission fees generally.
To clarify, I am not saying individuals operating in finance don't know anything. They're indeed very smart and very clever and earn a great deal of respect. But their money comes from facilitating the mechanics of the system ie. client relationships, doing transactions, and doing sales etc. Not from predicting what is going to go up or down in the marketplace.
Stockbrokers are full of confidence and may bounce a great deal of facts and figures when communicating to future prospects. However, more details doesn't always lead to a greater amount of market predictability. The information a prospect needs to understand is does that broker earning a living from picking stocks? The answer generally is no. The broker is comfortably getting income from the client fees compensated to selling and buying on their behalf. A market view is easy to attain when it's with another person's money. More to the point it can be simpler to gamble when it isn't your own pocket fueling that risk.
The experts within the media give the impression that the markets are simpler to foretell than they really are. Watching a reporter on the television or reading a columnist in the newspaper says that the price is going this way, the commodity is doing this, that and also the other etc... it all comes across as being easy.
The media put out this sort of message that everything may be forecasted. A message which is persistent and which is easy to be seduced by. No-one could really blame you for feeding off this over simplified view and Our Web Site come away thinking 'I could have a go at that, I could actually make some cash out of that.' The enticing read within the newspaper or report on the tv will make plenty of people fall into a false sense of that the markets are easy to keep one step ahead of.
The media has a job to do... and that is the job of reporting the financial arena so it is not as easy as just placing a hand of blame on their shoulders. But it is what it is, as in the majority of media... a sort of type of gossip, and unfortunately the job of financial guesswork is within the realms of 'entertainment,' the reader must find the subject interesting and entertaining to some degree, it must be a little pumped up as well as have a specific gloss to come across in a palatable way for all those watching or reading the story else their attention would just drop off. The financial markets are a difficult beast however the media underplays those difficulties.
Anybody thinking of trading or investing shall have their view largely shaped by media reporting. It is vital when listening to the experts that you learn to be critical of what you read and hear.
So if the experts and media are unreliable, how do you learn about markets? The best answer is to try and start to know very well what has happened in the past. Like the majority of things homework is everything. Spend some decent time looking into how prices have behaved within the past. I am not talking about extensive number crunching or numerous time within the library, just researching how prices have reacted to big influences in a number of market cycles. To get an understanding of the dollar-euro rate being an example it is pointless trying to form a valid view without knowing where it has been and why. The euro value has fluctuated over the very last few years and you will find reason behind this increase and decrease, big reasons, big picture influences including budget deficits, trade balances, interest, economic growth to name a few. Your own research will be the most valuable.